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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$51.5M vol.
25%
Yes76%
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$2.2M vol.
82%
December 3176%
October 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$94.9M vol.
82%
Nicolás Maduro10%
Delcy Rodríguez
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$3.4M vol.
39%
No Meeting by September 3025%
Switzerland
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$3.6M vol.
29%
Yes72%
No
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23.4M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$3.6M vol.
27%
December 3115%
October 31
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$162.8K vol.
7%
Yes93%
No
Trump out as President by August 31?
$27.2K vol.
1%
Yes99%
No
Trump out as President before 2027?
$10.3M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
$45.8K vol.
89%
August 3164%
August 15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$5.7M vol.
35%
December 3116%
October 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
$2.8M vol.
52%
December 31<1%
July 31
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$943.1K vol.
23%
December 3112%
October 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1.4M vol.
25%
Yes76%
No
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$127.1K vol.
4%
Yes97%
No
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$2.8M vol.
93%
No meeting before 20273%
Switzerland
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$2.7M vol.
24%
≤4715%
51
Fed Decision in October?
$429.6K vol.
69%
No change23%
25 bps increase
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
$5.4K vol.
41%
30+17%
40+
Fed Decision in December?
$7.3K vol.
58%
No change39%
25 bps increase
What will Trump say in August?
$20.9K vol.
99%
Through the Roof95%
Affordable / Affordability
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$294.7K vol.
20%
Yes82%
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$28.9M vol.
10%
December 315%
September 30
