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Politica
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Fed Decision in September?
$139.7M vol.
80%
25 bps increase21%
No change$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100MNext French Presidential Election
$132.8M vol.
35%
Marine Le Pen29%
Édouard PhilippeBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$13.5M vol.
23%
December 3117%
October 31Presidential Election Winner 2028
$704.9M vol.
24%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon OssoffWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$27.3M vol.
80%
United Russia (ER)17%
New People (NL)Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
$1M vol.
37%
160-17930%
140-159Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$703.7M vol.
51%
J.D. Vance18%
Marco RubioWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$65.8M vol.
17%
Yes84%
NoElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
$359.6K vol.
22%
180-19920%
160-179US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$27.9M vol.
66%
December 3138%
October 31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
$2.2M vol.
93%
September 3091%
September 18Israel closes its airspace by...?
$30.4M vol.
97%
September 30<1%
June 11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$11.5M vol.
21%
Yes80%
NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$15.2M vol.
23%
Yes78%
NoPutin out as President of Russia by...?
$23.7M vol.
14%
June 30, 20277%
December 31, 2026Trump out as President by September 30?
$731K vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
$101.4K vol.
49%
40-6442%
<40Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$37.1M vol.
55%
Gadi Eizenkot29%
Benjamin NetanyahuWhich party will win the House in 2026?
$10.9M vol.
87%
Democratic Party14%
Republican PartyWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$25.7M vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
$4.2M vol.
54%
Democratic Party48%
Republican PartyElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
$27.9K vol.
18%
180-19918%
160-179