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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Gavin NewsomPresidential Election Winner 2028
$692M vol.
23%
JD Vance14%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezFed Decision in September?
$48.1M vol.
69%
No change31%
25 bps increaseElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
$3.2M vol.
31%
320-33930%
300-319Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$690.5M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance20%
Marco RubioUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$18.8M vol.
71%
December 3149%
October 31US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$2.1M vol.
100%
August 2299%
August 25Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
$383.4K vol.
61%
40-6424%
<40Trump out as President before 2027?
$11.1M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoElon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$607.8K vol.
20%
200-21918%
220-239Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.4M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$59.4M vol.
17%
Yes84%
NoNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$9.9M vol.
67%
March 31, 202751%
December 31, 2026Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$7.9M vol.
25%
Yes76%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$8.9M vol.
32%
Yes69%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$121M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard PhilippeStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$23M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$21.6M vol.
71%
United Russia (ER)23%
New People (NL)Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$32.9M vol.
58%
Gadi Eizenkot27%
Benjamin NetanyahuNext Prime Minister of Sweden
$3.9M vol.
93%
Magdalena Andersson8%
Ulf KristerssonPutin out as President of Russia by...?
$21.5M vol.
14%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.3M vol.
48%
Democrats Sweep39%
R Senate, D HouseStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$5.2M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$489.3K vol.
2%
Yes98%
No