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Politics
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Fed Decision in September?
$53.6M vol.
65%
No change35%
25 bps increase
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$21.3M vol.
77%
December 3164%
October 31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$6.3M vol.
12%
Yes89%
No
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$3.9M vol.
100%
August 2597%
August 31
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$692.9M vol.
23%
JD Vance14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$1.3M vol.
37%
220-23930%
200-219
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$691.6M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance19%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Jon Ossoff
Next French Presidential Election
$122.1M vol.
34%
Marine Le Pen25%
Édouard Philippe
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$9.5M vol.
38%
Yes63%
No
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$59.9M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
$440.6K vol.
89%
40-6413%
65-89
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$22.3M vol.
74%
United Russia (ER)20%
New People (NL)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.7M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$11M vol.
15%
Yes86%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$693.3K vol.
4%
Yes97%
No
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$1.4M vol.
13%
Yes88%
No
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
$305.7K vol.
19%
200-21918%
220-239
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$23.6M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$21.7M vol.
14%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$10.3M vol.
67%
March 31, 202757%
December 31, 2026
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$5.2M vol.
75%
No Meeting by September 3010%
Pakistan
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$33.1M vol.
55%
Gadi Eizenkot28%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$720.6K vol.
96%
August 2691%
August 31
