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Politics
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Fed Decision in September?
$15.8M vol.
51%
No change48%
25 bps increase
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$11.6M vol.
19%
August 312%
August 15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$5M vol.
97%
December 3193%
October 31
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Gavin Newsom17%
Jon Ossoff
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
$2.2M vol.
56%
180-19929%
160-179
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$677.5M vol.
22%
JD Vance13%
Marco Rubio
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$4.9M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$57M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$685.2M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance24%
Marco Rubio
Next French Presidential Election
$117.4M vol.
30%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard Philippe
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$16.9M vol.
70%
United Russia (ER)21%
New People (NL)
Trump out as President by August 31?
$465K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$31.2M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot34%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
$477.2K vol.
20%
180-19919%
200-219
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$95.2M vol.
82%
Nicolás Maduro10%
Delcy Rodríguez
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
$2.6M vol.
98%
Byron Donalds2%
James Fishback
Clacton by-election Winner
$3.7M vol.
99%
Nigel Farage1%
Count Binface
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$7.1M vol.
64%
Yes37%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$19.7M vol.
14%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$9.3M vol.
46%
Democrats Sweep41%
R Senate, D House
Iran leader end of 2026?
$37.7M vol.
85%
Mojtaba Khamenei4%
Reza Pahlavi
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$1.9M vol.
33%
Yes68%
No
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$239.4K vol.
61%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)41%
Mike Rogers (R)
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$376.3K vol.
90%
Francesca Hong9%
David Crowley
