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Politics
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$8M vol.
13%
August 313%
August 15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$55.6M vol.
22%
Yes79%
No
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$684.3M vol.
46%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco Rubio
Fed Decision in September?
$12.2M vol.
55%
25 bps increase43%
No change
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
$2.8M vol.
69%
220-23920%
200-219
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
19%
Gavin Newsom15%
Jon Ossoff
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$3.3M vol.
90%
December 3187%
October 31
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$676.5M vol.
21%
JD Vance14%
Marco Rubio
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$31M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot34%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$1.7M vol.
23%
Yes78%
No
Clacton by-election Winner
$3.5M vol.
99%
Nigel Farage1%
Count Binface
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
$1M vol.
24%
180-19923%
200-219
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$3.7M vol.
37%
No Meeting by September 3023%
Switzerland
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23.8M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$6.8M vol.
59%
Yes42%
No
Iran leader end of 2026?
$37.5M vol.
85%
Mojtaba Khamenei4%
No Head of State
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$9.2M vol.
48%
Democrats Sweep41%
R Senate, D House
Iran leadership change by...?
$22.4M vol.
26%
June 30, 202716%
December 31
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
$152.2K vol.
48%
40-6434%
<40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$63.9M vol.
6%
December 312%
September 30
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$996.5K vol.
64%
Yes37%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$117.1M vol.
30%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard Philippe
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$19.5M vol.
15%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
$195.4K vol.
17%
200-21916%
220-239
