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Politik
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Fed Decision in September?
$93M vol.
51%
25 bps increase49%
No change
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$699M vol.
50%
J.D. Vance19%
Marco Rubio
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$13.1M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$702M vol.
24%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon Ossoff
Next French Presidential Election
$126.3M vol.
35%
Marine Le Pen28%
Édouard Philippe
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$2.7M vol.
55%
220-23946%
200-219
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$25.4M vol.
60%
December 3136%
October 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$64.7M vol.
14%
Yes87%
No
Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
$283.4K vol.
46%
65-8944%
40-64
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
$663.7K vol.
24%
200-21923%
220-239
Israel closes its airspace by...?
$28M vol.
9%
September 30<1%
June 11
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$35.1M vol.
50%
Gadi Eizenkot32%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$7.7M vol.
2%
Yes98%
No
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$4.6M vol.
78%
Magdalena Andersson23%
Ulf Kristersson
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$24.8M vol.
69%
United Russia (ER)26%
New People (NL)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
$280.9K vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$6.4M vol.
59%
June 30, 202738%
March 31, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$1.9M vol.
1%
Yes99%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$1.4M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Iran leader end of 2026?
$39.1M vol.
85%
Mojtaba Khamenei5%
No Head of State
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$22.5M vol.
15%
June 30, 20277%
December 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$25.5M vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.4M vol.
4%
December 311%
September 30
