Politik

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Fed Decision in July? card icon

Fed Decision in July?

$29.1M vol.

81%
No change
18%
25 bps increase
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? card icon

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

$13.2M vol.

13%
Yes
88%
No
Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$644.1M vol.

20%
JD Vance
16%
Marco Rubio
Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?

$2.9M vol.

53%
200-219
26%
220-239
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$667.3M vol.

39%
J.D. Vance
26%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.2B vol.

21%
Gavin Newsom
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? card icon

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$2.3M vol.

64%
July 31
32%
July 17
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? card icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$23.9M vol.

38%
Gadi Eizenkot
37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

$5.6M vol.

14%
Yes
87%
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$61.1M vol.

7%
December 31
4%
September 30
Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

$106.5M vol.

26%
Jordan Bardella
21%
Édouard Philippe
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

$691.9K vol.

1%
Yes
99%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?

$808.6K vol.

23%
200-219
21%
180-199
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$11.2M vol.

29%
Yes
72%
No
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? card icon

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$738K vol.

63%
June 30, 2027
28%
December 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$92.3M vol.

81%
Nicolás Maduro
14%
Delcy Rodríguez
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? card icon

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

$2.4M vol.

12%
December 31
<1%
June 30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$3.3M vol.

83%
Yes
18%
No
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? card icon

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$1.8M vol.

29%
Switzerland
28%
Qatar
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? card icon

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

$15.4M vol.

99%
Andy Burnham
<1%
Al Carns
Fed Decision in September? card icon

Fed Decision in September?

$1.1M vol.

63%
No change
31%
25 bps increase
Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?

$292.5K vol.

20%
200-219
20%
220-239
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$21M vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? card icon

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$17M vol.

18%
December 31
3%
July 31
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