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Politik
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Fed Decision in September?
$30.6M vol.
73%
No change27%
25 bps increase
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$681.7M vol.
23%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$13.5M vol.
85%
December 3173%
October 31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$19.1M vol.
3%
August 31<1%
August 15
Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
$2.2M vol.
62%
160-17928%
140-159
Clacton by-election Winner
$5.3M vol.
99%
Nigel Farage1%
Count Binface
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
$3.4M vol.
98%
Byron Donalds2%
James Fishback
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$58.5M vol.
18%
Yes83%
No
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
$509K vol.
27%
180-19925%
160-179
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$3.1M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$118.9M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard Philippe
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$687.2M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco Rubio
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$19M vol.
67%
United Russia (ER)26%
New People (NL)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$6.9M vol.
21%
Yes80%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$31.9M vol.
54%
Gadi Eizenkot31%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$7.9M vol.
47%
Yes54%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$20.3M vol.
12%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$112.7K vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?
$89.2K vol.
54%
40-6424%
<40
Trump out as President by August 31?
$1.3M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Iran leadership change by...?
$23.4M vol.
26%
June 30, 202719%
December 31
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$1.5M vol.
25%
Yes76%
No
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$9.6M vol.
50%
Democrats Sweep38%
R Senate, D House
