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Politik
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Fed Decision in July?
$88.2M vol.
74%
No change25%
25 bps increasePresidential Election Winner 2028
$669.6M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$2.9M vol.
71%
200-21917%
220-239Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$20.1M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoIran leader end of 2026?
$34.2M vol.
72%
Mojtaba Khamenei8%
No Head of StateTrump out as President by July 31?
$2.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$46.5M vol.
31%
Yes70%
NoFed Decision in September?
$4.2M vol.
52%
25 bps increase41%
No changeElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$1M vol.
19%
220-23919%
240-259Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$678.2M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$702.4K vol.
43%
Yes58%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$115.7M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$1.9M vol.
12%
Yes89%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$5.8M vol.
52%
Yes49%
NoClarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.4M vol.
38%
Yes63%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026?
$232.4K vol.
49%
65-8926%
40-64Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$1M vol.
5%
Yes96%
NoIran leadership change by...?
$20.3M vol.
40%
June 30, 202728%
December 31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22.9M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoIran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$8M vol.
20%
August 1510%
July 31Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.2M vol.
17%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$786.1K vol.
44%
August 3130%
August 15Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
$338.1K vol.
51%
August 3124%
July 31