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Derivatives
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No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
$85.2K vol.
100%
↓ 8%85%
↓ 7%
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
$29.2K vol.
58%
Jon Ossoff25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$31.5K vol.
88%
No change13%
Hike 25 bps
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
$36.8K vol.
45%
↓ 30%36%
↑ 40%
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
$6.6K vol.
14%
Yes87%
No
House control favorite on November 2?
$2.4K vol.
98%
Democratic Party3%
Republican Party
Democratic Senate odds on October 9?
$142 vol.
46%
62-64%34%
64-66%
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
$11.2K vol.
93%
Yes8%
No
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
$7K vol.
98%
JD Vance2%
Donald Trump Jr.
Senate control favorite on November 2?
$1K vol.
90%
Democratic Party11%
Republican Party
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?
$5K vol.
3%
Yes99%
No
