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Midterms
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$30.5M vol.
69%
Democrats Sweep25%
R Senate, D HouseWhich party will win the House in 2026?
$20.5M vol.
93%
Democratic Party8%
Republican PartyWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
$7.9M vol.
69%
Democratic Party32%
Republican PartyIdaho Senate Election Winner
$383.7K vol.
97%
Jim Risch (R)4%
Todd Achilles (I)Texas Senate Election Winner
$5.6M vol.
67%
James Talarico (D)34%
Ken Paxton (R)Michigan Senate Election Winner
$2.2M vol.
72%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)29%
Mike Rogers (R)Kansas Senate Election Winner
$1.1M vol.
63%
Roger Marshall (R)38%
Adam Hamilton (D)Nebraska Senate Election Winner
$917.4K vol.
73%
Pete Ricketts (R)27%
IndependentOhio Senate Election Winner
$1.5M vol.
71%
Sherrod Brown (D)31%
Jon Husted (R)Iowa Senate Election Winner
$1M vol.
58%
Ashley Hinson (R)43%
Josh Turek (D)Texas Governor Election Winner
$778.3K vol.
70%
Greg Abbott (R)31%
Gina Hinojosa (D) Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
$694K vol.
66%
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate31%
Oil ≥ $80; R SenateOhio Governor Election Winner
$832.4K vol.
83%
Amy Acton (D)18%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
$1.4M vol.
89%
No Hormuz Agreement7%
Hormuz Agreement; D SenateMinnesota Senate Election Winner
$360.2K vol.
88%
Peggy Flanagan (D)14%
Michele Tafoya (R)Maine Senate Election Winner
$2.4M vol.
68%
Troy Jackson (D)34%
Susan Collins (R)Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
$1M vol.
62%
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate29%
Oil ≥ $85; R SenateMississippi Senate Election Winner
$283.8K vol.
89%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)12%
Scott Colom (D)Nevada Governor Election Winner
$671.8K vol.
67%
Aaron Ford (D)34%
Joe Lombardo (R)NC-09 House Election Winner
$65.3K vol.
74%
Richard Hudson (R)28%
Richard Ojeda (D)South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
$49K vol.
43%
Graham 5-10%29%
Graham 0-5%Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$95.8K vol.
96%
Tom Cotton (R) 5%
Hallie Shoffner (D)Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$3.3M vol.
45%
≤4719%
48South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$974K vol.
82%
Darline Graham Nordone (R)19%
Annie Andrews (D)