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Fed Decision in July?
$37.6M vol.
90%
No change10%
25 bps increaseNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$4M vol.
57%
July 3118%
July 17Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$25.4M vol.
39%
Benjamin Netanyahu39%
Gadi EizenkotPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$15.4M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoPresidential Election Winner 2028
$645.4M vol.
20%
JD Vance16%
Marco RubioRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$668.2M vol.
39%
J.D. Vance25%
Marco RubioNext French Presidential Election
$107.3M vol.
26%
Jordan Bardella22%
Édouard PhilippeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Gavin Newsom11%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezElon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?
$1.5M vol.
22%
140-15921%
120-139Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$6.3M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$2.1M vol.
32%
Switzerland28%
QatarVenezuela leader end of 2026?
$92.7M vol.
81%
Nicolás Maduro14%
Delcy RodríguezStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
$1.1M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
$587.7K vol.
18%
160-17916%
180-199Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
$355.3K vol.
96%
<406%
40-64Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$313.2K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$34.3M vol.
5%
Yes95%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$11.7M vol.
24%
Yes77%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21.1M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
$2.5M vol.
12%
December 31<1%
June 30Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$906.3K vol.
57%
June 30, 202731%
December 31Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$13.9M vol.
57%
United Russia (ER)31%
New People (NL)Iran leader end of 2026?
$17.4M vol.
83%
Mojtaba Khamenei4%
Reza PahlaviTrump out as President before 2027?
$9.6M vol.
8%
Yes94%
No