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Fed Decision in July?
$37.6M vol.
90%
No change10%
25 bps increaseWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$25.4M vol.
39%
Gadi Eizenkot39%
Benjamin NetanyahuPresidential Election Winner 2028
$645.4M vol.
21%
JD Vance16%
Marco RubioNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$3.4M vol.
65%
July 3132%
July 17Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$15M vol.
12%
Yes89%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$668.2M vol.
39%
J.D. Vance25%
Marco RubioNext French Presidential Election
$107.3M vol.
26%
Jordan Bardella21%
Édouard PhilippeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Gavin Newsom11%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezElon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?
$1.4M vol.
20%
140-15918%
120-139Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$6.3M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$2.1M vol.
48%
Qatar31%
SwitzerlandVenezuela leader end of 2026?
$92.7M vol.
81%
Nicolás Maduro13%
Delcy RodríguezWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
$3M vol.
57%
Republican Party45%
Democratic PartyElon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
$511.1K vol.
18%
160-17916%
180-199Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$34.3M vol.
5%
Yes95%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$11.7M vol.
24%
Yes77%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
$266.2K vol.
76%
<4021%
40-64Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
$1M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$245.5K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$900.6K vol.
57%
June 30, 202731%
December 31Trump out as President before 2027?
$9.5M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoNext UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$15.7M vol.
99%
Andy Burnham<1%
Al CarnsWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
$2.5M vol.
12%
December 31<1%
June 30Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21.1M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No