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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$34.3M vol.
77%
0 (0 bps)17%
1 (25 bps)Largest Company end of June?
$21.9M vol.
96%
NVIDIA3%
AlphabetOpenAI IPO by...?
$2.1M vol.
49%
December 31, 202613%
September 30, 2026Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$2.3M vol.
88%
SpaceX10%
AnthropicSpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$66.5K vol.
40%
$2.0T-$2.5T40%
$1.5T-$2.0TWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoClaude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$359.4K vol.
40%
45%+23%
50%+IPOs before 2027?
$6.5M vol.
83%
Anthropic63%
Discord2nd largest company end of June?
$478.3K vol.
66%
Alphabet30%
AppleLargest Company end of December 2026?
$3.3M vol.
67%
NVIDIA15%
AlphabetHow many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
$70.9K vol.
33%
425k–450k34%
450k–475kAnother critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$3.6K vol.
79%
August 3161%
July 31AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$85.6K vol.
84%
Yes17%
NoUS recession by end of 2026?
$1.5M vol.
18%
Yes83%
NoWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.9M vol.
91%
MGM Resorts89%
CursorRichest person on December 31, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
94%
Elon Musk1%
Warren BuffettOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
$28.5K vol.
31%
1.5T+23%
750B–1TGPU rental prices (H100) end of June?
$13.8K vol.
53%
$2.60-$2.9026%
$2.90-$3.20AI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
22%
December 31, 2026<1%
December 31, 2025Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$111.3K vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$290K vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoHow high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
$249.8K vol.
20%
85%5%
90%Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$159.3K vol.
77%
Anthropic25%
OpenAIOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$280.9K vol.
48%
Yes55%
No