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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$40.5M vol.
78%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)Largest Company end of July?
$762.2K vol.
82%
NVIDIA12%
AppleLargest Company end of December 2026?
$3.9M vol.
59%
NVIDIA17%
AlphabetOpenAI IPO by...?
$2.4M vol.
23%
December 31, 20265%
September 30, 20263rd Largest Company end of July?
$20.3K vol.
59%
Alphabet38%
Apple2nd Largest Company end of July?
$102.2K vol.
48%
Apple40%
AlphabetWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$218.2K vol.
84%
Anthropic18%
OpenAIGPU rental prices (B200) end of July?
$14K vol.
42%
$5.00-$6.0038%
$4.00-$5.00How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
$8.7K vol.
100%
70%100%
75%Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$18M vol.
79%
MGM Resorts51%
Viking TherapeuticsLead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
$42K vol.
60%
Morgan Stanley45%
Goldman SachsSpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
$3.1K vol.
72%
$2.0T-$2.5T67%
<$1.0TLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$4.5M vol.
86%
SpaceX12%
AnthropicGPU rental prices (H200) end of July?
$6.3K vol.
46%
$4.00-$5.0031%
$3.00-$4.00What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$337.3K vol.
40%
Earbuds/Headphones25%
Clip-on device for clothingAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$106.9K vol.
82%
Yes21%
NoGPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$7.5K vol.
28%
$2.30-$2.6026%
$2.90-$3.20Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
$53.6K vol.
3%
Truist3%
ScotiabankAI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
16%
December 31, 2026<1%
March 31, 2026IPOs before 2027?
$6.7M vol.
74%
Anthropic53%
DiscordRichest person on December 31, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
96%
Elon Musk1%
Warren BuffettWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
$2.3K vol.
18%
Yes83%
NoFDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?
$4.9K vol.
85%
Yes16%
NoWhich DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
$6.9K vol.
92%
Aristotle32%
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