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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$40.5M vol.
78%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)
Largest Company end of July?
$764.6K vol.
82%
NVIDIA12%
Apple
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$3.9M vol.
60%
NVIDIA17%
Alphabet
OpenAI IPO by...?
$2.4M vol.
23%
December 31, 20265%
September 30, 2026
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$18M vol.
79%
MGM Resorts51%
Viking Therapeutics
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$218.2K vol.
84%
Anthropic18%
OpenAI
GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?
$14K vol.
42%
$5.00-$6.0038%
$4.00-$5.00
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
$8.7K vol.
100%
70%99%
75%
2nd Largest Company end of July?
$102.3K vol.
48%
Apple40%
Alphabet
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
$42K vol.
57%
Morgan Stanley45%
Goldman Sachs
CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap
$4.1K vol.
55%
400B+ yuan71%
340–370B yuan
GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?
$6.3K vol.
42%
$4.00-$5.0031%
$3.00-$4.00
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$4.5M vol.
86%
SpaceX12%
Anthropic
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$106.9K vol.
83%
Yes20%
No
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$337.3K vol.
38%
Earbuds/Headphones26%
Clip-on device for clothing
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$7.7K vol.
28%
$2.30-$2.6026%
$2.90-$3.20
3rd Largest Company end of July?
$20.3K vol.
60%
Alphabet36%
Apple
AI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
16%
December 31, 2026<1%
March 31, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
$6.7M vol.
75%
Anthropic54%
Discord
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
$53.6K vol.
3%
Truist3%
KeyBank
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
96%
Elon Musk1%
Warren Buffett
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
$2.3K vol.
18%
Yes83%
No
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?
$4.9K vol.
85%
Yes16%
No
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
$6.9K vol.
92%
Aristotle32%
Small Exchange
