Fed Rates

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Fed Decision in September? card icon

Fed Decision in September?

$79.4M vol.

57%
25 bps increase
43%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$50.5M vol.

89%
0 (0 bps)
9%
1 (25 bps)
Fed rate hike in 2026? card icon

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$8.4M vol.

72%
Yes
29%
No
Fed rate hike by...? card icon

Fed rate hike by...?

$2.7M vol.

66%
October Meeting
56%
September Meeting
Fed Decision in October? card icon

Fed Decision in October?

$1M vol.

71%
No change
27%
25 bps increase
Fed Decision in December? card icon

Fed Decision in December?

$472.5K vol.

45%
No change
45%
25 bps increase
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$232.2K vol.

18%
3.8%
18%
3.9%
Fed Decision in January? card icon

Fed Decision in January?

$61.1K vol.

61%
No change
24%
25 bps increase
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct) card icon

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

$734.6K vol.

68%
Other
33%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed rate cut by...? card icon

Fed rate cut by...?

$3.3M vol.

11%
December Meeting
4%
October Meeting
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$295.1K vol.

99%
4.8%
49%
5.0%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$6.7M vol.

45%
4.0%
25%
3.75%
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) card icon

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

$823K vol.

60%
Other
43%
Pause–Pause–Pause
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.7M vol.

26%
↑ 4.25%
10%
↓ 3.25%
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

$9.9K vol.

37%
3
27%
4+
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? card icon

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

$5.6K vol.

10%
Yes
99%
No
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...? card icon

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

$7.7K vol.

9%
November 30
6%
December 31
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

$7.3K vol.

25%
2
25%
3
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? card icon

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

$31K vol.

10%
December 31
5%
September 30
What will be the next Fed rate change? card icon

What will be the next Fed rate change?

$6.4K vol.

83%
Hike
20%
Cut
Jerome Powell federally charged by...? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$318.9K vol.

6%
December 31, 2026
<1%
June 30, 2026
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

$9.7K vol.

29%
3
22%
1
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$443.3K vol.

17%
December 31
<1%
May 30
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? card icon

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$164.3K vol.

8%
Yes
93%
No
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