Fed Rates

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Fed Decision in December? card icon

Fed Decision in December?

$10.4M vol.

73%
25 bps increase
26%
No change
Fed Decision in January? card icon

Fed Decision in January?

$1.1M vol.

70%
No change
27%
25 bps increase
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$55.2M vol.

97%
0 (0 bps)
2%
1 (25 bps)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? card icon

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

$1.2M vol.

73%
Yes
28%
No
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$430.8K vol.

95%
Below 4.70%
82%
Below 4.65%
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) card icon

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

$569.5K vol.

76%
Hike–Pause–Hike
25%
Hike–Pause–Pause
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$249.9K vol.

60%
4.90%
45%
5.00%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) card icon

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$120.2K vol.

62%
Pause-Hike-Pause
14%
Pause-Pause-Pause
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$7.1M vol.

72%
4.25%
26%
4.0%
Fed Decision in April? card icon

Fed Decision in April?

$31.8K vol.

53%
No change
26%
25 bps increase
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$264.3K vol.

96%
Below 5.25%
76%
Below 5.20%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.9M vol.

71%
↑ 4.25%
3%
↑ 5.5%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$518.1K vol.

94%
Below 4.9%
65%
Below 4.8%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$286.4K vol.

73%
5.40%
73%
5.50%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? card icon

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

$39.8K vol.

9%
December 31
<1%
June 30
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$1.1M vol.

35%
5.3%
22%
5.4%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$32.8K vol.

80%
4.75%
75%
4.80%
Fed Decision in March? card icon

Fed Decision in March?

$61.7K vol.

50%
25 bps increase
46%
No change
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

$46.5K vol.

65%
0
17%
1
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

$25.6K vol.

59%
0
24%
1
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? card icon

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

$2.8K vol.

17%
Yes
86%
No
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...? card icon

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

$33.9K vol.

20%
December 31
6%
November 30
Fed rate cut by...? card icon

Fed rate cut by...?

$3.8M vol.

90%
July 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$30.6K vol.

86%
Below 4.50%
56%
Below 4.40%
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