Fed Rates

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Fed Decision in December? card icon

Fed Decision in December?

$10.8M vol.

73%
25 bps increase
26%
No change
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$55.3M vol.

97%
0 (0 bps)
1%
1 (25 bps)
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$434.6K vol.

98%
Below 4.70%
82%
Below 4.65%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? card icon

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

$1.2M vol.

74%
Yes
28%
No
Fed Decision in January? card icon

Fed Decision in January?

$1.1M vol.

70%
No change
26%
25 bps increase
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) card icon

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

$571K vol.

73%
Hike–Pause–Hike
25%
Hike–Pause–Pause
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$250.9K vol.

60%
4.90%
45%
5.00%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) card icon

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$120.2K vol.

62%
Pause-Hike-Pause
14%
Pause-Pause-Pause
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$264.8K vol.

95%
Below 5.25%
75%
Below 5.20%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$7.1M vol.

73%
4.25%
26%
4.0%
Fed Decision in April? card icon

Fed Decision in April?

$31.8K vol.

53%
No change
26%
25 bps increase
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.9M vol.

73%
↑ 4.25%
3%
↓ 1.5%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$518.1K vol.

95%
Below 4.9%
64%
Below 4.8%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$286.5K vol.

71%
5.40%
72%
5.50%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? card icon

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

$39.8K vol.

8%
December 31
<1%
June 30
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$1.1M vol.

32%
5.3%
23%
5.4%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$32.9K vol.

83%
4.75%
78%
4.80%
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

$25.8K vol.

57%
0
28%
1
Fed Decision in March? card icon

Fed Decision in March?

$61.7K vol.

50%
25 bps increase
46%
No change
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

$46.6K vol.

65%
0
17%
2
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$30.7K vol.

77%
Below 4.50%
49%
Below 4.40%
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? card icon

Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?

$2.8K vol.

17%
Yes
86%
No
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...? card icon

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

$33.9K vol.

17%
December 31
5%
November 30
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$474.4K vol.

11%
December 31
<1%
May 30
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