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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$145.5M vol.
78%
25 bps increase22%
No changeFed rate hike in 2026?
$9.2M vol.
87%
Yes14%
NoFed Decision in October?
$1.8M vol.
62%
No change38%
25 bps increaseFed rate hike by...?
$3.3M vol.
83%
October Meeting79%
September MeetingHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$52.3M vol.
94%
0 (0 bps)4%
1 (25 bps)What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
41%
4.25%38%
4.0%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
67%
↑ 4.25%16%
↑ 4.5%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$390K vol.
91%
5.0%65%
5.1%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$259.2K vol.
13%
Below 3.9%10%
Below 3.8%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$217.6K vol.
10%
Yes93%
NoFed Decision in December?
$687.9K vol.
56%
25 bps increase40%
No changeFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$865.6K vol.
79%
Other23%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed rate cut by...?
$3.4M vol.
7%
December Meeting3%
October MeetingFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$761K vol.
85%
Other14%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
$37K vol.
35%
026%
1How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$13.3K vol.
93%
5.40%82%
5.45%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$29.9K vol.
92%
4.97%82%
5.00%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$14.4K vol.
46%
Below 4.50%38%
Below 4.45%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$6.2K vol.
95%
4.80%93%
4.85%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$26.7K vol.
26%
Hike–Pause–Hike20%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$13.2K vol.
59%
Below 5.21%44%
Below 5.24%Fed Decision in January?
$71K vol.
59%
No change24%
25 bps increaseHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$28.9K vol.
21%
Below 4.76%15%
Below 4.73%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
$18.9K vol.
63%
4.83%42%
4.90%