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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$25.2M vol.
83%
No change17%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed Decision in December?
$2.6M vol.
72%
25 bps increase26%
No changeHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$836.1K vol.
84%
5.3%58%
5.4%Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$540.9K vol.
76%
Yes25%
NoHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.8M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)What will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$161.1K vol.
88%
5.65%69%
5.70%Fed Decision in January?
$216.5K vol.
65%
No change32%
25 bps increaseNo change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$39.3K vol.
31%
Below 5.20%29%
Below 5.15%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$65K vol.
82%
5.10%74%
5.25%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
53%
4.25%29%
4.0%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$230.4K vol.
61%
Hike–Pause–Hike24%
Hike–Pause–PauseFed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$18.9K vol.
52%
Pause-Hike-Pause16%
Pause-Hike-HikeHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$12.1K vol.
29%
028%
2How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$6.8K vol.
78%
5.08%78%
5.11%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$73.2K vol.
19%
Below 4.50%12%
Below 4.45%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$3.8K vol.
75%
4.86%77%
4.89%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$343.6K vol.
15%
Below 4.7%11%
Below 4.6%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
77%
↑ 4.25%18%
↑ 4.5%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$5K vol.
67%
Below 5.18%58%
Below 5.15%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
$7.4K vol.
68%
Below 4.95%63%
Below 4.92%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$5.4K vol.
89%
5.29%77%
5.32%