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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$66.8M vol.
95%
No change6%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$4.6M vol.
77%
25 bps increase21%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.8M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$260.1K vol.
83%
Below 4.70%69%
Below 4.65%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$491.6K vol.
75%
Hike–Pause–Hike22%
Hike–Pause–PauseFed Decision in January?
$912.5K vol.
69%
No change29%
25 bps increaseHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$200.5K vol.
88%
Below 5.25%61%
Below 5.20%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$173.8K vol.
100%
4.80%79%
4.90%Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1M vol.
77%
Yes24%
NoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
45%
5.3%25%
5.4%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$438.5K vol.
80%
Below 4.9%62%
Below 4.8%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
73%
4.25%21%
4.0%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting38%
April 2027 MeetingHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$266.2K vol.
85%
5.40%66%
5.50%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$37.3K vol.
35%
228%
0How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$26.4K vol.
73%
Below 4.60%47%
Below 4.50%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$19.2K vol.
55%
4.86%24%
4.89%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$24.1K vol.
11%
5.08%7%
5.11%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
76%
↑ 4.25%10%
↑ 4.5%No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$55.7K vol.
100%
No change<1%
Hike 25 bpsWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$27K vol.
47%
4.5%31%
4.25%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$27.4K vol.
88%
4.80%88%
4.75%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$34.8K vol.
55%
Below 4.95%35%
Below 4.90%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$37.6K vol.
49%
035%
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