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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$16.2M vol.
49%
No change48%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$46.9M vol.
88%
0 (0 bps)9%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike in 2026?
$6.3M vol.
64%
Yes37%
NoFed rate hike by...?
$2M vol.
57%
October Meeting48%
September MeetingFed Decision in December?
$50K vol.
59%
No change33%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in October?
$471.6K vol.
69%
No change23%
25 bps increaseWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M vol.
34%
↑ 4.25%10%
↓ 3.25%Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$678.1K vol.
53%
Pause–Pause–Pause48%
OtherFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$664.1K vol.
58%
Other40%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed Decision in January?
$5.7K vol.
63%
No change22%
25 bps increaseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.7M vol.
41%
4.0%28%
3.75%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$433.2K vol.
29%
December 31<1%
May 30How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$279.7K vol.
63%
4.8%23%
5.0%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$222.8K vol.
13%
3.0%9%
3.8%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$122.5K vol.
7%
Yes95%
NoHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$5.8K vol.
24%
324%
1What will be the next Fed rate change?
$1.8K vol.
67%
Hike37%
CutJerome Powell federally charged by...?
$318.2K vol.
3%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26.2K vol.
91%
September 3091%
August 31Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.5K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$6K vol.
25%
226%
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