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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$18.5M vol.
63%
No change37%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$47.5M vol.
87%
0 (0 bps)10%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike in 2026?
$6.8M vol.
54%
Yes47%
NoFed Decision in October?
$514.5K vol.
68%
No change24%
25 bps increaseFed rate hike by...?
$2M vol.
50%
October Meeting36%
September MeetingFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$694.7K vol.
65%
Pause–Pause–Pause36%
OtherFed Decision in December?
$61.3K vol.
59%
No change30%
25 bps increaseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.7M vol.
44%
4.0%37%
3.75%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M vol.
29%
↑ 4.25%10%
↓ 3.25%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$224.4K vol.
33%
3.9%8%
3.6%Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$665.2K vol.
51%
Other44%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$280K vol.
63%
4.8%19%
5.0%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$6.3K vol.
25%
226%
3Fed Decision in January?
$5.9K vol.
63%
No change21%
25 bps increaseJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$433.2K vol.
29%
December 31<1%
May 30Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
$318.3K vol.
4%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$122.5K vol.
7%
Yes95%
NoHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$5.9K vol.
27%
224%
3Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26.2K vol.
91%
September 3088%
August 31Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.5K vol.
3%
Yes99%
NoWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$1.8K vol.
64%
Hike39%
Cut