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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in December?
$10M vol.
71%
25 bps increase28%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$55.1M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in January?
$1M vol.
73%
No change26%
25 bps increaseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1.2M vol.
71%
Yes30%
NoFed Decision in March?
$60.8K vol.
47%
25 bps increase46%
No changeHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$407.9K vol.
97%
Below 4.70%90%
Below 4.65%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$227.8K vol.
50%
4.90%35%
5.00%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$556.6K vol.
72%
Hike–Pause–Hike29%
Hike–Pause–PauseFed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$113.9K vol.
66%
Pause-Hike-Pause15%
Pause-Pause-PauseFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$261.7K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$255.1K vol.
85%
Below 5.25%76%
Below 5.20%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
79%
April 2027 Meeting90%
July 2027 MeetingHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$514K vol.
90%
Below 4.9%68%
Below 4.8%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
35%
5.3%23%
5.4%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$282.7K vol.
89%
5.40%83%
5.50%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.9M vol.
71%
↑ 4.25%4%
↓ 0.5%Fed Decision in April?
$27.3K vol.
57%
No change29%
25 bps increaseHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$32.2K vol.
99%
4.75%87%
4.85%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$30.2K vol.
82%
Below 4.50%58%
Below 4.40%Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
$360 vol.
31%
Yes88%
NoWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
72%
4.25%31%
4.0%Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$6.2K vol.
2%
Yes99%
NoWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$39K vol.
6%
December 311%
October 31Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$33.9K vol.
19%
December 315%
November 30