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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in July?
$17.9M vol.
76%
No change23%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$38.7M vol.
79%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike in 2026?
$2.8M vol.
58%
Yes43%
NoFed Decision in October?
$94.1K vol.
59%
No change30%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in September?
$740K vol.
57%
No change38%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$16.7K vol.
56%
Other40%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed rate hike by...?
$311.5K vol.
55%
October Meeting45%
September MeetingFed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$75.8K vol.
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause25%
OtherWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.5M vol.
33%
↑ 4.25%20%
↓ 3.25%Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$299.5K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$109.9K vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$218.5K vol.
34%
3.9%29%
3.8%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.6M vol.
29%
3.75%27%
4.0%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$423.4K vol.
40%
December 31<1%
May 30Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$10.7K vol.
48%
Other47%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$239.2K vol.
31%
4.8%15%
5.0%How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
$7.7K vol.
62%
018%
1Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$18.2K vol.
17%
December 31<1%
June 30Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$4.1K vol.
3%
Yes99%
No