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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$8.1M vol.
55%
25 bps increase44%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.1M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed Decision in December?
$1.1M vol.
68%
25 bps increase31%
No changeAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$80.4K vol.
86%
Yes15%
NoWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$530.7K vol.
74%
5.1%45%
5.2%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$93.6K vol.
35%
Hike–Hike–Hike32%
Hike–Pause–HikeHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$25.1K vol.
97%
Below 4.50%75%
Below 4.45%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$25.1K vol.
87%
4.90%72%
4.95%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$38.8K vol.
19%
Below 5.24%8%
Below 5.21%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$34.2K vol.
82%
5.40%74%
5.45%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
78%
↑ 4.25%28%
↑ 4.5%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$14.2K vol.
61%
Below 5.20%57%
Below 5.15%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.6M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting76%
June 2027 MeetingWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
58%
4.25%33%
≥ 4.5%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$58.6K vol.
4%
Below 4.73%4%
Below 4.76%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$54.9K vol.
95%
5.05%47%
5.10%Fed Decision in January?
$94.3K vol.
58%
No change34%
25 bps increaseLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$23.8K vol.
5%
December 314%
November 30Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$447.6K vol.
14%
December 31<1%
May 30How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$286K vol.
4%
Below 3.7%3%
Below 3.9%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
$16.6K vol.
51%
Below 4.49%41%
Below 4.46%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$37.4K vol.
58%
5.39%31%
5.42%