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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$15.8M vol.
51%
No change48%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$46.9M vol.
88%
0 (0 bps)9%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike in 2026?
$6.3M vol.
63%
Yes38%
NoFed rate hike by...?
$2M vol.
57%
October Meeting45%
September MeetingFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$663.6K vol.
58%
Other35%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed Decision in October?
$459.4K vol.
69%
No change23%
25 bps increaseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.7M vol.
41%
4.0%29%
3.75%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M vol.
31%
↑ 4.25%11%
↓ 3.25%Fed Decision in January?
$5.7K vol.
63%
No change22%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$35.2K vol.
59%
No change33%
25 bps increaseWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$1.8K vol.
67%
Hike37%
CutJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$433.2K vol.
28%
December 31<1%
May 30Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$676.6K vol.
52%
Pause–Pause–Pause46%
OtherHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$5.8K vol.
29%
224%
3How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$279.4K vol.
53%
4.8%24%
5.0%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$222.8K vol.
13%
3.0%9%
3.8%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$122.5K vol.
7%
Yes95%
NoJerome Powell federally charged by...?
$318.2K vol.
3%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26.2K vol.
91%
September 3084%
August 31Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.5K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$6K vol.
25%
226%
3