This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Jon Ossoff

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. 

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. 

If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kamala Harris

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Chelsea Clinton

Gretchen Whitmer

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027. 

If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

James Comer

Thomas Massie

Rick Hardin

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination to contest the Kentucky governorship in 2027. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 18, 2027.

If no nominee is announced by November 2, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)