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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.6M vol.
60%
Anthropic41%
SpaceX
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$68.6K vol.
64%
December 31, 202715%
June 30, 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.8M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$403K vol.
98%
October 3187%
September 30
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$9.8K vol.
69%
1.38–1.41ºC23%
1.42–1.45ºC
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$331.1K vol.
72%
140-15926%
160-179
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$5.1K vol.
48%
Fewer than 2032%
20 to 34
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$310.8K vol.
9%
Yes93%
No
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$11.6K vol.
22%
20,000+100%
10,000+
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$11.2K vol.
85%
<425mm21%
425-450mm
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$8K vol.
82%
80-9946%
100–119
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k96%
↑3.5k
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
$40.5K vol.
88%
Yes13%
No
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$145K vol.
11%
Yes94%
No
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$505K vol.
60%
<529%
5-6
Precipitation in NYC in August?
$4.1K vol.
100%
>6"<1%
3-4"
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
75%
123%
2
Precipitation in London in August?
$7.9K vol.
93%
<30mm52%
30-40mm
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$2.1K vol.
100%
2900+99%
3000+
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$3.6K vol.
100%
2800+100%
2825+
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
$11.2K vol.
15%
December 31, 20272%
December 31, 2026
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$340.9K vol.
18%
Yes85%
No
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$243K vol.
22%
Yes79%
No
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$12.8K vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
