Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$65.8M vol.

4%
December 31
2%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.6M vol.

60%
Anthropic
42%
SpaceX
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...? card icon

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$68.6K vol.

64%
December 31, 2027
15%
June 30, 2027
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES) card icon

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$9.6K vol.

74%
1.38–1.41ºC
19%
1.42–1.45ºC
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$331.1K vol.

72%
140-159
26%
160-179
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$395.5K vol.

98%
October 31
87%
September 30
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

100%
↑3k
96%
↑3.5k
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$505K vol.

60%
<5
29%
5-6
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? card icon

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$5.1K vol.

39%
Fewer than 20
32%
20 to 34
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$11.6K vol.

24%
20,000+
100%
10,000+
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$11.1K vol.

78%
<425mm
29%
425-450mm
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$8K vol.

77%
80-99
23%
100–119
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? card icon

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$145K vol.

11%
Yes
94%
No
Precipitation in NYC in August? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in August?

$4.1K vol.

100%
>6"
<1%
4-5"
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

75%
1
23%
2
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

$3.6K vol.

100%
2800+
99%
2825+
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

67%
0
26%
1
Precipitation in London in August? card icon

Precipitation in London in August?

$7.9K vol.

90%
<30mm
42%
30-40mm
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$11.2K vol.

14%
December 31, 2027
2%
December 31, 2026
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$243K vol.

22%
Yes
79%
No
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

47%
14–16
37%
17–19
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? card icon

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$196.2K vol.

2%
Yes
98%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

$2K vol.

100%
2900+
99%
3000+
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$813.3K vol.

1%
Yes
99%
No
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