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Science
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.8M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.6M vol.
60%
Anthropic42%
SpaceXFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$66K vol.
56%
December 31, 202715%
June 30, 2027SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$395K vol.
99%
October 3189%
September 30How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$331.1K vol.
72%
140-15926%
160-179Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k96%
↑3.5kAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$8.9K vol.
74%
1.38–1.41ºC26%
1.42–1.45ºCHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$4.9K vol.
36%
Fewer than 2032%
20 to 34How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$504.6K vol.
60%
<540%
5-6Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$11.4K vol.
34%
20,000+100%
10,000+Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$11K vol.
83%
<425mm15%
425-450mmMeasles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$2K vol.
100%
2900+99%
3000+Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$145K vol.
11%
Yes92%
NoHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$7.7K vol.
67%
80-9924%
100–119Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
75%
123%
2Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$3.6K vol.
100%
2800+99%
2825+How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$1.1M vol.
67%
026%
1How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.3M vol.
47%
14–1637%
17–19How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
$5.3K vol.
92%
1319%
<13Natural Disaster in 2026?
$243K vol.
22%
Yes79%
NoWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
$11.2K vol.
15%
December 31, 20272%
December 31, 2026Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
$196.2K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$101.8K vol.
12%
Yes91%
NoNew pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No