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Science
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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$68.1M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
September 30OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$172.9K vol.
73%
December 31, 202744%
December 31, 2026Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.9M vol.
99%
↑3.5k100%
↑4kAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$234.5K vol.
76%
December 31, 202748%
December 31, 20269.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$328.5K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$674.3K vol.
99%
October 3192%
September 30Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$6M vol.
55%
Anthropic46%
SpaceXU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$124.6K vol.
14%
Yes87%
NoAnthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
$59.5K vol.
70%
December 31, 202739%
December 31, 2026How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
$82.9K vol.
55%
021%
1Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$354.9K vol.
30%
December 31, 202814%
December 31, 2027Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
$130.9K vol.
40%
Hodge Conjecture29%
Birch and Swinnerton-DyerFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$586.4K vol.
4%
Yes98%
NoWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?
$14.2K vol.
35%
Hodge Conjecture26%
Birch and Swinnerton-DyerPrecipitation in NYC in September?
$11.4K vol.
30%
4-5"26%
3-4"Precipitation in Seattle in September?
$14.6K vol.
32%
1-1.5"27%
<1"September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
$4K vol.
96%
2nd hottest7%
1st hottestWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.4M vol.
77%
124%
2Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9M vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$101.7K vol.
65%
December 31, 202742%
September 30, 2027New pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoMeasles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$9.2K vol.
100%
3300+100%
3400+How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
$1K vol.
75%
More than 550,00048%
More than 575,000Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$7.8K vol.
25%
December 31, 202612%
October 31, 2026