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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$70.2M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$43.3K vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$321.9K vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$293K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$160.1K vol.

56%

30%

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$126.8K vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

75%

26%

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

$16.8K vol.

Yes

93%

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$186.9K vol.

53%

Hodge Conjecture

22%

No solution by Dec 31, 2027

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$32.5K vol.

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$398.5K vol.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$22.4K vol.

99%

<275mm

375-400mm

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$717.2K vol.

99%

October 31

88%

Successful splash down?

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

$32.4K vol.

99%

<75mm

75-100mm

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

Yes

95%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$167.4K vol.

12%

Yes

89%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$20.7K vol.

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$16.2K vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$514.9K vol.

53%

5-6

48%

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

$4.9K vol.

Precipitation in London in September?

$26.6K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$68.3K vol.