Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$61.1M vol.

7%
December 31
4%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$4.5M vol.

84%
SpaceX
16%
Anthropic
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3M vol.

65%
2
27%
1
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$244.7K vol.

7%
Yes
94%
No
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? card icon

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$190.6K vol.

5%
Yes
95%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by July 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

$7.6K vol.

94%
2200
27%
2300
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5? card icon

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

$5K vol.

20%
10
19%
11
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$794.8K vol.

9%
Yes
92%
No
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? card icon

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$575.2K vol.

16%
Yes
86%
No
Human moon landing in 2026? card icon

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9M vol.

3%
Yes
97%
No
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? card icon

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$558K vol.

89%
Jacob Tsimerman
77%
Hong Wang
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.7M vol.

76%
↑3k
62%
↑3.5k
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

44%
14–16
25%
17–19
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$686.4K vol.

3%
Yes
97%
No
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

$3K vol.

61%
0
34%
1
FDA approves Vera Therapeutics' Atacicept? card icon

FDA approves Vera Therapeutics' Atacicept?

$353 vol.

82%
Yes
41%
No
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

72%
0
25%
1
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$172.2K vol.

14%
Yes
87%
No
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? card icon

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

$2.3K vol.

24%
Yes
77%
No
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$225.1K vol.

23%
Yes
84%
No
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? card icon

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

$217 vol.

77%
Yes
63%
No
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? card icon

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$142.7K vol.

80%
Yes
28%
No
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$850.1K vol.

86%
December 31, 2027
81%
June 30, 2027
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$333.3K vol.

37%
Yes
65%
No
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