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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$70.2M vol.
3%
December 31<1%
September 30
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$164.9K vol.
13%
Yes88%
No
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$280.5K vol.
82%
December 31, 202746%
December 31, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.4M vol.
76%
125%
2
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
$50.3K vol.
87%
June 30, 2027?47%
March 31, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
$184.2K vol.
55%
Hodge Conjecture20%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$711.9K vol.
99%
October 3192%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$396.2K vol.
33%
December 31, 202814%
December 31, 2027
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$306.3K vol.
83%
December 31, 202747%
December 31, 2026
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
$20.2K vol.
98%
<275mm2%
375-400mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$19.5K vol.
46%
35 to 4948%
50 or more
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
$28.8K vol.
33%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture25%
Hodge Conjecture
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
$3.1K vol.
31%
December 3111%
October 31
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
$147.6K vol.
51%
034%
1
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$6M vol.
54%
Anthropic42%
SpaceX
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$8M vol.
100%
↑3.5k100%
↑4k
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
$1K vol.
23%
-3.00 to -1.01 ft21%
-1.00 to 0.99 ft
Precipitation in NYC in September?
$30.2K vol.
61%
2-3"28%
3-4"
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
$5.3K vol.
91%
More than 550,00062%
More than 575,000
Precipitation in London in September?
$25.7K vol.
46%
30-40mm35%
<30mm
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
$29.9K vol.
55%
1.5-2"39%
1-1.5"
New pandemic in 2026?
$1.1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
$997.5K vol.
82%
December 31, 202785%
June 30, 2027
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
$5K vol.
99%
2nd hottest3%
1st hottest
