Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$70.2M vol.

3%
December 31
<1%
September 30
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? card icon

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$164.9K vol.

13%
Yes
88%
No
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? card icon

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$280.5K vol.

82%
December 31, 2027
46%
December 31, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

76%
1
25%
2
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...? card icon

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$50.3K vol.

87%
June 30, 2027?
47%
March 31, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? card icon

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$184.2K vol.

55%
Hodge Conjecture
20%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$711.9K vol.

99%
October 31
92%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$396.2K vol.

33%
December 31, 2028
14%
December 31, 2027
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? card icon

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$306.3K vol.

83%
December 31, 2027
47%
December 31, 2026
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$20.2K vol.

98%
<275mm
2%
375-400mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? card icon

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$19.5K vol.

46%
35 to 49
48%
50 or more
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? card icon

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$28.8K vol.

33%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
25%
Hodge Conjecture
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...? card icon

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

$3.1K vol.

31%
December 31
11%
October 31
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? card icon

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$147.6K vol.

51%
0
34%
1
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

54%
Anthropic
42%
SpaceX
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

100%
↑3.5k
100%
↑4k
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30? card icon

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

$1K vol.

23%
-3.00 to -1.01 ft
21%
-1.00 to 0.99 ft
Precipitation in NYC in September? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$30.2K vol.

61%
2-3"
28%
3-4"
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? card icon

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

$5.3K vol.

91%
More than 550,000
62%
More than 575,000
Precipitation in London in September? card icon

Precipitation in London in September?

$25.7K vol.

46%
30-40mm
35%
<30mm
Precipitation in Seattle in September? card icon

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$29.9K vol.

55%
1.5-2"
39%
1-1.5"
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

6%
Yes
95%
No
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$997.5K vol.

82%
December 31, 2027
85%
June 30, 2027
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record? card icon

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

$5K vol.

99%
2nd hottest
3%
1st hottest
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