Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$63.4M vol.

6%
December 31
3%
September 30
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? card icon

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$743.8K vol.

98%
Jacob Tsimerman
97%
Yu Deng
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.1M vol.

58%
2
41%
1
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$4.8M vol.

86%
SpaceX
14%
Anthropic
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) card icon

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$39.4K vol.

87%
1.20–1.24ºC
19%
1.25–1.29ºC
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.7M vol.

87%
↑3k
63%
↑3.5k
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26? card icon

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

$10.5K vol.

39%
≤8
19%
9
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

$33.4K vol.

88%
5000+
94%
10000+
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$106.5K vol.

94%
1st hottest
8%
3rd hottest
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

$3.2K vol.

60%
0
29%
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$727.9K vol.

2%
Yes
99%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by July 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

$39.2K vol.

92%
2300
15%
2350
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

$22.6K vol.

74%
600mm+
15%
575-600mm
Precipitation in NYC in July? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in July?

$30K vol.

88%
4-5"
28%
3-4"
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$250K vol.

9%
Yes
91%
No
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$226.7K vol.

25%
Yes
76%
No
Precipitation in Seattle in July? card icon

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

$947 vol.

70%
<0.5"
20%
0.5-1"
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$317.4K vol.

58%
140-159
34%
160-179
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

$78.9K vol.

91%
1250+
6%
1200–1249
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

51%
14–16
30%
17–19
Precipitation in London in July? card icon

Precipitation in London in July?

$6.3K vol.

90%
<30mm
7%
40-50mm
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? card icon

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$193.8K vol.

4%
Yes
96%
No
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$871.3K vol.

85%
June 30, 2027
55%
December 31, 2027
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$488.1K vol.

58%
5-6
27%
<5
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